FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Carlton, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · ORLEANS COUNTY

Carlton

2,810 people, 350 ft above sea level in Orleans County.

350 ftElevation, city center
2,810People, 2024 estimate
44 sq miLand area
Rain 39°
Rain now Dew point 35° · NW 10 mph · high 39°
City of Carlton River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Carlton plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Carlton

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Rochester International Airport (KROC) · 5:54 PM
Rain
39° Rain Feels like 32° · high of 39° near 6 PM
WindNW 10 mphno gusts
Humidity86%rising to 92% by morning
Pressure29.92 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 35° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tonight, about 6 PMin about 1 hours · 54% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 120.2 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Orleans County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:04 AM4:49 PM ↓
9 h 45 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
rain
overcast
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
overcast
overcast
overcast
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
39°
36°
42°
36°
46°
36°
CHANCE OF RAIN
54% · 0.09 in Saturday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
13
12
10
9
9
12
12
10
8
7
6
6
6
9
10
9
7
7
7
8
9
12
15
13
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 50° / 34°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
39° 33°
50% rain — NW 12 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
45° 34°
0% rain — NNW 11 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 33°
0% rain — WNW 9 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
56° 37°
0% rain — WSW 12 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
58° 37°
0% rain — SW 8 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61° 43°
0% rain — SW 8 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 41°
10% rain — W 5 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Carlton about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,260 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,000 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO Nov. 13, 2019

The coldest this week has been

10° on Nov. 13, 2019, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1938. Next is 12° in 1986.

12°
10°
19862019
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Albion record since 1938.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Carlton stands on

Carlton’s center stands about 350 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 260 ft to 430 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Queenston Shale, from the Late Ordovician, 445 to 459 million years old.

The section below crosses 6 rock units mapped at the surface.

Carlton, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
200 ft400 ft600 ft CARLTON350 ftHigh point of the line710 ftOak Orchard Creekabout 300 ftLow point240 ft ← S · ClarendonN →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 41×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Queenston Shale

Shale. Age: Late Ordovician, 445 to 459 million years old. About 9 mi of the line.

Lockport Group

Dolostone. Age: Silurian, 425 to 434 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Medina Group

Sandstone, shale. Age: Silurian, 434 to 445 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Decew Dolostone and Rochester Shale

Shale. Age: Silurian, 428 to 445 million years old. About 0.7 mi of the line.

Camillus, Syracuse, and Vernon Formations

Shale. Age: Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old. About 0.6 mi of the line.

Irondequoit Limestone thru Kodak Sandstone

Sandstone. Age: Silurian, 428 to 445 million years old. About 0.3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Carlton’s rain goes

Rain that falls on Carlton runs only a short way, about 4 miles, to Lake Ontario. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

FROM THE CENTER OF CARLTON ≈ 4 mi to Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence straight to the shore

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Carlton; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Carlton’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1938 · Albion, 7 mi south-southwest

Carlton has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 18° in January. A normal year brings about 67 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 35 inches of water.

33°18°35°18°44°25°57°36°70°46°79°57°83°62°81°60°75°54°62°43°50°33°38°24° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY CARLTON 35.2 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average83° / 62°high / low, the warmest month
January, average33° / 18°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow35.2 inwettest months: October and April
Snow a year67.0 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record101°FJuly 8, 1988
Coldest on record−20°FFebruary 18, 1979
Wettest day on record4.83 inSeptember 14, 1979
Snowiest day on record16.0 inJanuary 17, 2022
90° days a year8none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°125and 44 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 23, to the last in spring, about April 30 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 17 to April 6; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Carlton normally reaches 50° and falls to 33°. The record high is 71°, in 1994; the record low 12°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 0.85 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high33°35°44°57°70°79°83°81°75°62°50°38°
Normal low18°18°25°36°46°57°62°60°54°43°33°24°
Rain and melt, in3.042.302.693.252.982.963.232.753.223.432.682.71
Snow, inches19.517.312.81.90.00.00.00.00.00.24.011.3
Record high73° (1950)74° (1997)80° (1998)90° (1970)94° (2018)96° (1988)101° (1988)101° (1948)101° (1953)88° (2023)82° (2026)75° (1982)
Record low−17° (1957)−20° (1979)−5° (2015)9° (1972)26° (1943)33° (1945)43° (1945)39° (1982)30° (1957)22° (1988)5° (1938)−11° (1942)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1938 at Albion, 7 miles south-southwest, 250 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Carlton on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Rochester NY · 32 MI 32 miles east Amherst NY · 36 MI 36 miles southwest Cheektowaga NY · 40 MI 40 miles southwest Buffalo NY · 45 MI 45 miles southwest Syracuse NY · 106 MI 106 miles east Erie PA · 127 MI 127 miles southwest
FORECASTCITY
Map of Carlton, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · ORLEANS

Carlton

2,810 people, 350 ft above sea level in Orleans County.

350 ftElevation
2,810People
44 sq miLand
Rain 39°
RainDew point 35°
1

Today in Carlton

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now rain 39° 49%
9p rain 38° 41%
12a overcast 38° 5%
3a overcast 37° 3%
6a mostly cloudy night 36° 4%
9a mostly cloudy day 39° 4%
Rain
NEXT RAINTonight about 6 PM · 54%
→
Sat50%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
33
39
A
Sun0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
34
45
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
33
48
B
Tue0%
Mostly sunny; warmer Mostly sunny; warmer
37
56
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
58
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
43
61
B
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
41
59
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SEVEN YEARS AGO · NOV. 13, 2019

10°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1938.

2

What Carlton stands on

Carlton’s center stands about 350 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 260 ft to 430 ft, a difference of 170 ft: gently rolling country.

Carlton, south to north Carlton350 ftOak Orchard Creekabout 300 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 79×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center350 ft
Within 3 miles260 to 430 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (170 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceQueenston Shale
Its ageLate Ordovician, 445 to 459 million years old
5

Carlton’s year

Carlton has a hot-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 18° in January. A normal year brings about 67 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 35 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 35.2 in
July, average83° / 62° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average33° / 18° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow35.2 in · wettest months: October and April
Snow a year67.0 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record101°F · July 8, 1988
Coldest on record−20°F · February 18, 1979
Wettest day on record4.83 in · September 14, 1979
Snowiest day on record16.0 in · January 17, 2022
90° days a year8 · none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°125 · and 44 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHot-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 23, to the last in spring, about April 30 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 17 to April 6; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Carlton normally reaches 50° and falls to 33°. The record high is 71°, in 1994; the record low 12°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 0.85 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1938 at Albion, 7 miles south-southwest, 250 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 4 mito Lake Ontariostraight to the shore

Rain that falls on Carlton runs only a short way, about 4 miles, to Lake Ontario. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.