FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Chautauqua, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY

Chautauqua

3,953 people, 1,380 ft above sea level in Chautauqua County.

1,380 ftElevation, city center
3,953People, 2024 estimate
67 sq miLand area
Sunny 36°
Sunny now Dew point 36° · NW 13 mph · high 37°
City of Chautauqua River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Chautauqua plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Chautauqua

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Chautauqua County/Jamestown Airport (KJHW) · 4:56 PM
Sunny
36° Sunny Feels like 28° · high of 37° near 5 PM
WindNW 13 mphgusts 21
Humidity100%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure29.94 in →steady
Visibility2 mifog or heavy haze
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 36° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tonight, about 8 PMin about 3 hours · 53% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 110.01 in · 3 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Chautauqua County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:16 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:07 AM4:57 PM ↓
9 h 50 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
27
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 15, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
mostly cloudy night
rain
rain
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
37°
33°
38°
33°
42°
31°
CHANCE OF RAIN
53% · 0.08 in Saturday night 50%
WIND, MPH
14
13
10
9
9
9
10
10
7
6
6
5
5
7
8
8
7
6
6
7
7
8
10
9
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 28 to 36°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
37° 33°
50% rain — NW 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Chance of showers Chance of showers
41° 33°
40% rain — NNW 10 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 31°
0% rain — NW 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
50° 30°
0% rain — SW 7 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 32°
0% rain — SSW 7 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 40°
0% rain — SSW 9 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 39°
0% rain — WSW 5 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Chautauqua about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over the Great Lakes a day ago, about 2,220 miles back along its path. It feels dry all the same. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

77° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1914. Next is 73° in 1994.

73°
77°
19942020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Fredonia Area threaded record since 1914.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Chautauqua stands on

Chautauqua’s center stands about 1,380 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,300 ft to 1,610 ft, a difference of 310 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Luce Hill, about 1,980 ft, 15 miles northeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Conneaut Group, undivided (shale, sandstone), from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Chautauqua, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft1,000 ft1,500 ft CHAUTAUQUA1,380 ftHigh point of the line1,750 ftMayville1,330 ftLow point560 ft ← S · BustiN →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 16×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Conneaut Group, undivided

Shale, sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 15 mi of the line.

Northeast Shale and Shumla Siltstone

Shale, siltstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Westfield Shale and Laona Siltstone

Siltstone, shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Oswayo and Venango Formations

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Gowanda, South Wales, and Dunkirk Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 0.3 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Chautauqua’s rain goes: two seas

Chautauqua straddles the St. Lawrence Divide. Rain on the northwest side runs to Lake Erie; most of the rest goes to the Gulf of America.

From the center of town, a raindrop reaches the Gulf of America by way of Chautauqua Lake, the Chadakoin, Cassadaga Creek, Conewango Creek, the Allegheny, the Ohio and the Mississippi: about 2,200 river miles. One that lands on the northwest side reaches Lake Erie by way of Little Chautauqua Creek and Chautauqua Creek: about 8 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

FROM THE CITY CENTER, TO SCALE
Chautauqua≈ 2,200 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE NORTHWEST SIDE, TO SCALE
Chautauqua≈ 8 mi · Lake Erie
FROM THE CENTER OF CHAUTAUQUA ≈ 2,200 mi to the Gulf of America Chautauqua Lake → Chadakoin → … → Allegheny → Ohio → Mississippi
NORTHWEST SIDE ≈ 8 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence Little Chautauqua Creek → Chautauqua Creek

Lake on the way: Chautauqua Lake.

970 miles of the trip are on the Ohio.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Chautauqua; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Chautauqua’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1914 · Portland 1 SW, 11 mi north

Chautauqua has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in February. About 46 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

34°20°36°19°44°27°57°37°68°49°77°59°80°63°79°63°74°56°62°46°50°37°39°28° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY CHAUTAUQUA 45.7 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average80° / 63°high / low, the warmest month
February, average36° / 19°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year45.7 inwettest months: July and October
Hottest on record98°FAugust 31, 1951
Coldest on record−26°FFebruary 15, 1943
Wettest day on record6.88 inAugust 22, 1942
Snowiest day on record21.0 inDecember 14, 1943
90° days a year2on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°113and 40 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 29, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 29 to April 1; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Chautauqua normally reaches 51° and falls to 37°. The record high is 73°, in 1994; the record low 21°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.15 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high34°36°44°57°68°77°80°79°74°62°50°39°
Normal low20°19°27°37°49°59°63°63°56°46°37°28°
Rain, inches3.342.412.893.693.694.104.883.874.094.654.054.00
Record high73° (1950)75° (2017)82° (1998)91° (1990)91° (1919)96° (1925)98° (1936)98° (1951)97° (1953)91° (1927)82° (1950)74° (1982)
Record low−17° (1994)−26° (1943)−16° (1916)4° (1923)27° (1970)35° (2023)43° (1963)37° (1982)32° (1965)21° (1965)7° (1929)−13° (1917)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1914 from the Fredonia Area threaded record (Portland 1 SW, 11 miles north, 570 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Chautauqua on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Erie PA · 30 MI 30 miles west Millcreek PA · 33 MI 33 miles west Buffalo NY · 56 MI 56 miles northeast Cleveland OH · 124 MI 124 miles southwest Pittsburgh PA · 127 MI 127 miles south Detroit MI · 184 MI 184 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Chautauqua, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · CHAUTAUQUA

Chautauqua

3,953 people, 1,380 ft above sea level in Chautauqua County.

1,380 ftElevation
3,953People
67 sq miLand
Sunny 36°
SunnyDew point 36°
1

Today in Chautauqua

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 37° 11%
8p rain 35° 33%
11p rain 34° 45%
2a mostly cloudy night 33° 15%
5a mostly cloudy night 33° 16%
8a mostly cloudy day 33° 4%
Rain
NEXT RAINTonight about 8 PM · 53%
→
Sat50%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
33
37
A
Sun40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
33
41
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
31
44
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
30
50
B
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
32
53
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
40
56
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
56
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

77°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1914.

2

What Chautauqua stands on

Chautauqua’s center stands about 1,380 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,300 ft to 1,610 ft, a difference of 310 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Luce Hill, about 1,980 ft, 15 miles northeast.

Chautauqua, south to north Chautauqua1,380 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 31×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,380 ft
Within 3 miles1,300 to 1,610 ft
Lie of the landRolling (310 ft of relief)
High point nearbyLuce Hill, 1,980 ft, 15 mi northeast
Rock at the surfaceConneaut Group, undivided
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Chautauqua’s year

Chautauqua has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in February. About 46 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 45.7 in
July, average80° / 63° · high / low, the warmest month
February, average36° / 19° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year45.7 in · wettest months: July and October
Hottest on record98°F · August 31, 1951
Coldest on record−26°F · February 15, 1943
Wettest day on record6.88 in · August 22, 1942
Snowiest day on record21.0 in · December 14, 1943
90° days a year2 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°113 · and 40 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 29, to the last in spring, about April 28 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 29 to April 1; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Chautauqua normally reaches 51° and falls to 37°. The record high is 73°, in 1994; the record low 21°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.15 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1914 from the Fredonia Area threaded record (Portland 1 SW, 11 miles north, 570 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

FROM THE CENTER OF CHAUTAUQUA≈ 2,200 mito the Gulf of AmericaChautauqua Lake → Chadakoin → … → Allegheny → Ohio → Mississippi
NORTHWEST SIDE≈ 8 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrenceLittle Chautauqua Creek → Chautauqua Creek

Chautauqua straddles the St. Lawrence Divide. Rain on the northwest side runs to Lake Erie; most of the rest goes to the Gulf of America.

Lake on the way: Chautauqua Lake.

970 miles of the trip are on the Ohio.