FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Colden, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · ERIE COUNTY

Colden

3,177 people, 1,090 ft above sea level in Erie County.

1,090 ftElevation, city center
3,177People, 2024 estimate
36 sq miLand area
Sunny 41°
Sunny now Dew point 35° · WNW 9 mph · high 41°
City of Colden River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Colden plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Colden

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) · 3:28 PM
Sunny
41° Sunny Feels like 35° · high of 41° near 5 PM
WindWNW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity79%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure29.91 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 35° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Today, about 4 PMin about 1 hours · 32% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Erie County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:04 AM4:53 PM ↓
9 h 48 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
18
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
rain
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
40°
35°
42°
36°
46°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
32% · 0.00 in Saturday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
13
12
10
8
8
7
10
10
9
6
6
5
5
6
7
10
10
9
8
8
9
10
14
20
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 35°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
41° 35°
30% rain — NW 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
20% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 37°
0% rain — W 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 41°
0% rain — SW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 41°
0% rain — SW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 46°
0% rain — SW 13 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 42°
0% rain — SW 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Colden about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over the northern Plains a day ago, about 2,370 miles back along its path. It came down from about 8,900 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

78° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1948. Next is 72° in 2012.

72°
78°
20122020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Wales record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Colden stands on

Colden’s center stands about 1,090 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 930 ft to 1,710 ft, a difference of 780 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Blue Hill, about 2,040 ft, 13 miles southeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Machias Formation (shale, siltstone, sandstone), from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 5 rock units mapped at the surface.

Hamburg to Yorkshire, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
1,000 ft1,500 ft COLDEN1,090 ftLow point650 ftEast Hill1,670 ftHigh point of the line1,890 ft ← NW · HamburgYorkshire · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 16×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Machias Formation

Shale, siltstone, sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 18 mi of the line.

Angola and Rhinestreet Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Cashaqua and Middlesex Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

Genesee Group

Shale, limestone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 0.3 mi of the line.

Moscow Formation

Shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 388 million years old. About 0.2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Colden’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Colden reaches Lake Erie by way of West Branch Cazenovia Creek, Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo: about 40 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Colden≈ 40 mi · Lake Erie
FROM THE CENTER OF COLDEN ≈ 40 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence West Branch Cazenovia Creek → Cazenovia Creek → Buffalo

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Colden; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Colden’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Wales, 9 mi northeast

Colden has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 79° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. A normal year brings about 109 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 44 inches of water.

32°15°33°15°42°22°55°33°67°44°75°54°79°58°78°57°72°50°60°40°47°31°37°22° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY COLDEN 44.1 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average79° / 58°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 15°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow44.1 inwettest months: October and June
Snow a year109.3 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record95°FJuly 17, 2022
Coldest on record−19°FFebruary 15, 2016
Wettest day on record3.42 inJune 23, 1987
Snowiest day on record29.5 inNovember 21, 2014
90° days a year1on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°151and 56 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 9, to the last in spring, about May 13 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 5 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 10 to April 14; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Colden normally reaches 48° and falls to 31°. The record high is 67°, in 2010; the record low 8°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.66 in, fell in 1992.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°33°42°55°67°75°79°78°72°60°47°37°
Normal low15°15°22°33°44°54°58°57°50°40°31°22°
Rain and melt, in3.562.653.163.583.504.153.943.483.934.184.053.90
Snow, inches32.919.917.03.60.00.00.00.00.00.29.126.6
Record high66° (2020)72° (2017)82° (1990)89° (1990)92° (2020)92° (2024)95° (2022)94° (2021)90° (2023)85° (2023)79° (2022)68° (2006)
Record low−18° (2004)−19° (2016)−12° (1999)9° (2016)25° (2020)31° (1988)40° (2001)35° (1986)26° (1991)21° (2002)0° (2018)−19° (1988)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Wales, 9 miles northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Colden on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Buffalo NY · 20 MI 20 miles northwest Amherst NY · 26 MI 26 miles north Rochester NY · 63 MI 63 miles northeast Greece NY · 63 MI 63 miles northeast Erie PA · 82 MI 82 miles southwest Syracuse NY · 130 MI 130 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Colden, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · ERIE

Colden

3,177 people, 1,090 ft above sea level in Erie County.

1,090 ftElevation
3,177People
36 sq miLand
Sunny 41°
SunnyDew point 35°
1

Today in Colden

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 40° 0%
6p mostly cloudy night 40° 26%
9p mostly cloudy night 39° 22%
12a mostly cloudy night 37° 5%
3a mostly cloudy night 36° 2%
6a mostly cloudy night 35° 10%
Rain
NEXT RAINToday about 4 PM · 32%
→
Sat30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
35
41
A
Sun20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
48
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
53
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

78°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1948.

2

What Colden stands on

Colden’s center stands about 1,090 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 930 ft to 1,710 ft, a difference of 780 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Blue Hill, about 2,040 ft, 13 miles southeast.

Colden, northwest to southeast Colden1,090 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 30×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,090 ft
Within 3 miles930 to 1,710 ft
Lie of the landHilly (780 ft of relief)
High point nearbyBlue Hill, 2,040 ft, 13 mi southeast
Rock at the surfaceMachias Formation
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Colden’s year

Colden has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 79° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. A normal year brings about 109 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 44 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 44.1 in
July, average79° / 58° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 15° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow44.1 in · wettest months: October and June
Snow a year109.3 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record95°F · July 17, 2022
Coldest on record−19°F · February 15, 2016
Wettest day on record3.42 in · June 23, 1987
Snowiest day on record29.5 in · November 21, 2014
90° days a year1 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°151 · and 56 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 9, to the last in spring, about May 13 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 5 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 10 to April 14; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Colden normally reaches 48° and falls to 31°. The record high is 67°, in 2010; the record low 8°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.66 in, fell in 1992.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Wales, 9 miles northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 40 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrenceWest Branch Cazenovia Creek → Cazenovia Creek → Buffalo

A raindrop that lands in Colden reaches Lake Erie by way of West Branch Cazenovia Creek, Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo: about 40 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.