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Shaded-relief map of East Aurora, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · ERIE COUNTY

East Aurora

5,986 people, 930 ft above sea level in Erie County.

930 ftElevation, city center
5,986People, 2024 estimate
3 sq miLand area
Clear 39°
Clear now Dew point 37° · NW 13 mph · high 41°
City of East Aurora River Interstate 2 miles
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The East Aurora plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in East Aurora

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) · 6:54 PM
Clear
39° Clear Feels like 31° · high of 41° near 7 PM
WindNW 13 mphgusts 25
Humidity93%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure29.98 in →steady
Visibility4 mihazy
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 37° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Erie County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 7:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:04 AM4:53 PM ↓
9 h 48 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
overcast
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
TEMPERATURE °F
41°
35°
42°
36°
46°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
12
9
8
8
8
10
10
7
6
5
5
5
6
8
10
10
9
8
8
10
12
16
19
16
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 39°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 35°
SAT Nov. 14 Cloudy Cloudy
41° 35°
30% rain — NW 11 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
10% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 37°
0% rain — W 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 41°
0% rain — SW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 41°
0% rain — SSW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 46°
0% rain — SW 13 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 42°
0% rain — WSW 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over East Aurora about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,340 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from Canada; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

78° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1948. Next is 72° in 2012.

72°
78°
20122020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Wales record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What East Aurora stands on

East Aurora’s center stands about 930 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 830 ft to 1,240 ft, a difference of 410 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is South Hill, about 1,820 ft, 12 miles south.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Angola and Rhinestreet Shales, from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 9 rock units mapped at the surface.

East Aurora, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
750 ft1,000 ft1,250 ft1,500 ft1,750 ft EAST AURORA930 ftHigh point of the line1,770 ftBillington Heights900 ftElma Center870 ftLancaster740 ft ← SLancaster · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 18×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Machias Formation

Shale, siltstone, sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 9 mi of the line.

Angola and Rhinestreet Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Skaneateles Formation

Shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Ludlowville Formation

Shale, limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 388 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Marcellus Formation

Black-shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 388 to 394 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Wiscoy Formation

Sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 0.9 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 3 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where East Aurora’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in East Aurora reaches Lake Erie by way of East Branch Cazenovia Creek, Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo: about 25 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
East Aurora≈ 25 mi · Lake Erie
FROM THE CENTER OF EAST AURORA ≈ 25 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence East Branch Cazenovia Creek → Cazenovia Creek → Buffalo

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of East Aurora; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

East Aurora’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Wales, 5 mi southeast

East Aurora has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 79° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. A normal year brings about 109 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 44 inches of water.

32°15°33°15°42°22°55°33°67°44°75°54°79°58°78°57°72°50°60°40°47°31°37°22° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY EAST AURORA 44.1 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average79° / 58°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 15°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow44.1 inwettest months: October and June
Snow a year109.3 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record95°FJuly 17, 2022
Coldest on record−19°FFebruary 15, 2016
Wettest day on record3.42 inJune 23, 1987
Snowiest day on record29.5 inNovember 21, 2014
90° days a year1on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°151and 56 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 9, to the last in spring, about May 13 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 5 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 10 to April 14; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 East Aurora normally reaches 48° and falls to 31°. The record high is 67°, in 2010; the record low 8°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.66 in, fell in 1992.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°33°42°55°67°75°79°78°72°60°47°37°
Normal low15°15°22°33°44°54°58°57°50°40°31°22°
Rain and melt, in3.562.653.163.583.504.153.943.483.934.184.053.90
Snow, inches32.919.917.03.60.00.00.00.00.00.29.126.6
Record high66° (2020)72° (2017)82° (1990)89° (1990)92° (2020)92° (2024)95° (2022)94° (2021)90° (2023)85° (2023)79° (2022)68° (2006)
Record low−18° (2004)−19° (2016)−12° (1999)9° (2016)25° (2020)31° (1988)40° (2001)35° (1986)26° (1991)21° (2002)0° (2018)−19° (1988)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Wales, 5 miles southeast, 200 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around East Aurora on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Cheektowaga NY · 12 MI 12 miles northwest Buffalo NY · 15 MI 15 miles northwest Rochester NY · 58 MI 58 miles northeast Erie PA · 87 MI 87 miles southwest Syracuse NY · 127 MI 127 miles east Scranton PA · 178 MI 178 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of East Aurora, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · ERIE

East Aurora

5,986 people, 930 ft above sea level in Erie County.

930 ftElevation
5,986People
3 sq miLand
Clear 39°
ClearDew point 37°
1

Today in East Aurora

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 41° 19%
10p overcast 39° 15%
1a overcast 37° 1%
4a mostly cloudy night 35° 2%
7a mostly cloudy day 35° 9%
10a mostly cloudy day 41° 2%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat30%
Cloudy Cloudy
35
41
A
Sun10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
48
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
53
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

78°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1948.

2

What East Aurora stands on

East Aurora’s center stands about 930 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 830 ft to 1,240 ft, a difference of 410 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is South Hill, about 1,820 ft, 12 miles south.

East Aurora, south to north East Aurora930 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 35×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center930 ft
Within 3 miles830 to 1,240 ft
Lie of the landHilly (410 ft of relief)
High point nearbySouth Hill, 1,820 ft, 12 mi south
Rock at the surfaceAngola and Rhinestreet Shales
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

East Aurora’s year

East Aurora has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 79° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. A normal year brings about 109 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 44 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 44.1 in
July, average79° / 58° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 15° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow44.1 in · wettest months: October and June
Snow a year109.3 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record95°F · July 17, 2022
Coldest on record−19°F · February 15, 2016
Wettest day on record3.42 in · June 23, 1987
Snowiest day on record29.5 in · November 21, 2014
90° days a year1 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°151 · and 56 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 9, to the last in spring, about May 13 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 5 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 10 to April 14; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 East Aurora normally reaches 48° and falls to 31°. The record high is 67°, in 2010; the record low 8°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.66 in, fell in 1992.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Wales, 5 miles southeast, 200 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 25 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrenceEast Branch Cazenovia Creek → Cazenovia Creek → Buffalo

A raindrop that lands in East Aurora reaches Lake Erie by way of East Branch Cazenovia Creek, Cazenovia Creek and the Buffalo: about 25 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.