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Shaded-relief map of Grand Island, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · ERIE COUNTY

Grand Island

21,565 people, 600 ft above sea level in Erie County.

600 ftElevation, city center
21,565People, 2024 estimate
28 sq miLand area
Sunny 41°
Sunny now Dew point 35° · WNW 9 mph · high 41°
City of Grand Island River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Grand Island plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Grand Island

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 3:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) · 3:28 PM
Sunny
41° Sunny Feels like 35° · high of 41° near 5 PM
WindWNW 9 mphno gusts
Humidity79%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure29.91 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 35° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Today, about 4 PMin about 1 hours · 32% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Erie County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 3:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:06 AM4:53 PM ↓
9 h 46 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
18
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
rain
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
partly cloudy day
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
40°
35°
42°
36°
46°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
32% · 0.00 in Saturday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
13
12
10
8
8
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10
9
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 35°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
41° 35°
30% rain — NW 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
20% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 37°
0% rain — W 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 41°
0% rain — SW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 41°
0% rain — SW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 46°
0% rain — SW 13 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 42°
0% rain — SW 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Grand Island about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,240 miles back along its path. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

78° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1982. Next is 72° in 2012.

72°
78°
20122020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the North Tonawanda record since 1982.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Grand Island stands on

Grand Island’s center stands about 600 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 560 ft to 650 ft, a difference of 90 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Camillus, Syracuse, and Vernon Formations (shale), from the Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old.

The section below crosses 4 rock units mapped at the surface.

Buffalo to Lewiston, cut in half

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
300 ft400 ft500 ft600 ft GRAND ISLAND600 ftBuffalo Riverabout 560 ftNiagara Riverabout 560 ftNiagara Falls580 ftLewiston330 ft ← S · BuffaloLewiston · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 49×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Lockport Group

Dolostone. Age: Silurian, 425 to 434 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Camillus, Syracuse, and Vernon Formations

Shale. Age: Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Onondaga and Bois Blanc Limestones

Limestone. Age: Early Devonian to Middle Devonian, 388 to 410 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Queenston Shale

Shale. Age: Late Ordovician, 445 to 459 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Grand Island’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Grand Island reaches Lake Ontario by way of Woods Creek and the Niagara: about 25 river miles. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Grand Island≈ 25 mi · Lake Ontario
FROM THE CENTER OF GRAND ISLAND ≈ 25 mi to Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence Woods Creek → Niagara

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Grand Island; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Grand Island’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1982 · North Tonawanda, 6 mi east-northeast

Grand Island has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 17° in January. A normal year brings about 80 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 40 inches of water.

33°17°36°17°44°24°57°34°70°45°79°55°83°59°82°58°74°50°61°40°49°31°38°23° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY GRAND ISLAND 40.1 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average83° / 59°high / low, the warmest month
January, average33° / 17°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow40.1 inwettest months: October and September
Snow a year79.8 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record100°FJuly 10, 2020
Coldest on record−15°FFebruary 14, 2016
Wettest day on record3.77 inSeptember 9, 2004
Snowiest day on record38.0 inDecember 25, 2022
90° days a year7none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°134and 41 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 13, to the last in spring, about May 4 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingNov. 9 to April 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Grand Island normally reaches 50° and falls to 31°. The record high is 68°, in 1994; the record low 14°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.88 in, fell in 1997.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high33°36°44°57°70°79°83°82°74°61°49°38°
Normal low17°17°24°34°45°55°59°58°50°40°31°23°
Rain and melt, in3.192.442.943.643.383.303.463.103.903.943.463.39
Snow, inches22.916.113.12.70.00.00.00.00.00.56.018.5
Record high66° (2005)74° (2000)82° (2012)93° (1990)94° (2020)95° (2007)100° (2020)97° (2012)95° (2002)87° (2025)80° (2022)72° (1982)
Record low−12° (1996)−15° (2016)−8° (1984)15° (2016)25° (2020)35° (1983)41° (1982)36° (1982)27° (1991)21° (2025)10° (2013)−9° (1993)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1982 at North Tonawanda, 6 miles east-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Grand Island on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Buffalo NY · 10 MI 10 miles southeast Amherst NY · 10 MI 10 miles east Greece NY · 66 MI 66 miles east Rochester NY · 69 MI 69 miles east Erie PA · 84 MI 84 miles southwest Syracuse NY · 143 MI 143 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Grand Island, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · ERIE

Grand Island

21,565 people, 600 ft above sea level in Erie County.

600 ftElevation
21,565People
28 sq miLand
Sunny 41°
SunnyDew point 35°
1

Today in Grand Island

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 40° 0%
6p mostly cloudy night 40° 26%
9p mostly cloudy night 39° 22%
12a mostly cloudy night 37° 5%
3a mostly cloudy night 36° 2%
6a mostly cloudy night 35° 10%
Rain
NEXT RAINToday about 4 PM · 32%
→
Sat30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
35
41
A
Sun20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
48
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
53
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

78°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1982.

2

What Grand Island stands on

Grand Island’s center stands about 600 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 560 ft to 650 ft, a difference of 90 ft: gently rolling country.

Grand Island, south to north Grand Island600 ftBuffalo Riverabout 560 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 94×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center600 ft
Within 3 miles560 to 650 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (90 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceCamillus, Syracuse, and Vernon Formations
Its ageSilurian, 422 to 428 million years old
5

Grand Island’s year

Grand Island has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 83° in July; winter nights fall to about 17° in January. A normal year brings about 80 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 40 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 40.1 in
July, average83° / 59° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average33° / 17° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow40.1 in · wettest months: October and September
Snow a year79.8 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record100°F · July 10, 2020
Coldest on record−15°F · February 14, 2016
Wettest day on record3.77 in · September 9, 2004
Snowiest day on record38.0 in · December 25, 2022
90° days a year7 · none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°134 · and 41 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 13, to the last in spring, about May 4 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 9 to April 12; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Grand Island normally reaches 50° and falls to 31°. The record high is 68°, in 1994; the record low 14°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.88 in, fell in 1997.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1982 at North Tonawanda, 6 miles east-northeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 25 mito Lake OntarioWoods Creek → Niagara

A raindrop that lands in Grand Island reaches Lake Ontario by way of Woods Creek and the Niagara: about 25 river miles. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.