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Shaded-relief map of Lancaster, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · ERIE COUNTY

Lancaster

10,094 people, 680 ft above sea level in Erie County.

680 ftElevation, city center
10,094People, 2024 estimate
3 sq miLand area
Clear 40°
Clear now Dew point 36° · WNW 10 mph · high 41°
City of Lancaster River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Lancaster plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Lancaster

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) · 5:54 PM
Clear
40° Clear Feels like 33° · high of 41° near 7 PM
WindWNW 10 mphgusts 23
Humidity86%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure29.96 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 36° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Tonight, about 7 PMin about 1 hours · 37% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Erie County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 6:17 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:05 AM4:52 PM ↓
9 h 47 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
6p
9p
Mid
3a
6a
9a
Noon
3p
rain
mostly cloudy night
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
40°
35°
42°
36°
46°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
37% · 0.03 in Saturday night 50%
WIND, MPH
12
10
8
8
7
10
10
9
6
6
5
5
6
7
10
10
9
8
8
9
10
14
20
17
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 35°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
41° 35°
40% rain — NW 11 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
10% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 37°
0% rain — W 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 41°
0% rain — SW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 41°
0% rain — SW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 46°
0% rain — SW 13 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 42°
0% rain — WSW 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Lancaster about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,290 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,700 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Gulf of Alaska; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1933 Nov. 15, 1933

The coldest this week has been

8° on Nov. 15, 1933, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1871. Next is 9° in 1967.

9°
8°
19671933
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Buffalo Area threaded record since 1871.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Lancaster stands on

Lancaster’s center stands about 680 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 640 ft to 750 ft, a difference of 110 ft: gently rolling country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Marcellus Formation (black-shale), from the Middle Devonian, 388 to 394 million years old.

The section below crosses 10 rock units mapped at the surface.

East Aurora to Pendleton, cut in half

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft750 ft1,000 ft LANCASTER680 ftHigh point of the line1,240 ftElma810 ftLow point580 ft ← S · East AuroraPendleton · N →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 29×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Angola and Rhinestreet Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Camillus, Syracuse, and Vernon Formations

Shale. Age: Silurian, 422 to 428 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Onondaga and Bois Blanc Limestones

Limestone. Age: Early Devonian to Middle Devonian, 388 to 410 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Skaneateles Formation

Shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Ludlowville Formation

Shale, limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 388 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Marcellus Formation

Black-shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 388 to 394 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 4 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Lancaster’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Lancaster reaches Lake Erie by way of Plum Bottom Creek, Cayuga Creek and the Buffalo: about 18 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Lancaster≈ 18 mi · Lake Erie
FROM THE CENTER OF LANCASTER ≈ 18 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence Plum Bottom Creek → Cayuga Creek → Buffalo

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Lancaster; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Lancaster’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1871 · Buffalo Niagara International Airpor, 4 mi northwest

Lancaster has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in January. A normal year brings about 95 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 41 inches of water.

32°19°33°20°42°26°55°36°67°48°76°58°80°63°79°62°72°54°60°44°48°34°37°26° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY LANCASTER 40.7 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average80° / 63°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 19°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow40.7 inwettest months: September and October
Snow a year95.4 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record99°FAugust 27, 1948
Coldest on record−20°FFebruary 2, 1961
Wettest day on record5.01 inJune 22, 1987
Snowiest day on record33.9 inDecember 10, 1995
90° days a year3on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°124and 49 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 25 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 10 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 21 to April 5; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lancaster normally reaches 48° and falls to 35°. The record high is 69°, in 1994; the record low 15°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.93 in, fell in 1871.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°33°42°55°67°76°80°79°72°60°48°37°
Normal low19°20°26°36°48°58°63°62°54°44°34°26°
Rain and melt, in3.352.492.893.373.373.373.233.234.104.033.503.75
Snow, inches26.718.114.12.50.00.00.00.00.00.97.825.3
Record high72° (1950)71° (2017)82° (2012)94° (1990)94° (1911)97° (1933)98° (2020)99° (1948)98° (1953)92° (1927)80° (1961)74° (1982)
Record low−16° (1982)−20° (1961)−7° (1984)5° (1923)25° (1926)35° (1945)43° (1945)38° (1982)32° (1991)20° (1965)2° (1875)−10° (1980)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 from the Buffalo Area threaded record (Buffalo Niagara International Airpor, 4 miles northwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Lancaster on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Amherst NY · 9 MI 9 miles northwest Buffalo NY · 10 MI 10 miles west Greece NY · 55 MI 55 miles northeast Rochester NY · 56 MI 56 miles east Erie PA · 90 MI 90 miles southwest Syracuse NY · 128 MI 128 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Lancaster, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · ERIE

Lancaster

10,094 people, 680 ft above sea level in Erie County.

680 ftElevation
10,094People
3 sq miLand
Clear 40°
ClearDew point 36°
1

Today in Lancaster

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 40° 27%
9p rain 39° 37%
12a overcast 37° 4%
3a mostly cloudy night 36° 3%
6a mostly cloudy night 35° 3%
9a mostly cloudy day 39° 2%
Rain
NEXT RAINTonight about 7 PM · 37%
→
Sat40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
35
41
A
Sun10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
48
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
53
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1933 · NOV. 15, 1933

8°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1871.

2

What Lancaster stands on

Lancaster’s center stands about 680 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 640 ft to 750 ft, a difference of 110 ft: gently rolling country.

Lancaster, south to north Lancaster680 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 55×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center680 ft
Within 3 miles640 to 750 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (110 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceMarcellus Formation
Its ageMiddle Devonian, 388 to 394 million years old
5

Lancaster’s year

Lancaster has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in January. A normal year brings about 95 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 41 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 40.7 in
July, average80° / 63° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 19° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow40.7 in · wettest months: September and October
Snow a year95.4 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record99°F · August 27, 1948
Coldest on record−20°F · February 2, 1961
Wettest day on record5.01 in · June 22, 1987
Snowiest day on record33.9 in · December 10, 1995
90° days a year3 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°124 · and 49 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 25 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 10 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 21 to April 5; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Lancaster normally reaches 48° and falls to 35°. The record high is 69°, in 1994; the record low 15°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.93 in, fell in 1871.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 from the Buffalo Area threaded record (Buffalo Niagara International Airpor, 4 miles northwest). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 18 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrencePlum Bottom Creek → Cayuga Creek → Buffalo

A raindrop that lands in Lancaster reaches Lake Erie by way of Plum Bottom Creek, Cayuga Creek and the Buffalo: about 18 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.