FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Middlebury, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · WYOMING COUNTY

Middlebury

1,316 people, 1,590 ft above sea level in Wyoming County.

1,590 ftElevation, city center
1,316People, 2024 estimate
36 sq miLand area
Clear 40°
Clear now Dew point 35° · WNW 10 mph · high 41°
City of Middlebury River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Middlebury plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Middlebury

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 5:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) · 5:10 PM
Clear
40° Clear Feels like 33° · high of 41° near 7 PM
WindWNW 10 mphgusts 21
Humidity83%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure29.94 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 35° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Overcast
Tonight, about 7 PMin about 1 hours · 37% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Wyoming County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:03 AM4:50 PM ↓
9 h 47 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
overcast
rain
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
40°
35°
42°
36°
46°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
37% · 0.03 in Saturday night 50%
WIND, MPH
13
10
9
8
7
9
10
10
7
6
5
5
5
7
9
10
10
8
8
9
10
13
18
18
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 38°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 35°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
41° 35°
40% rain — NW 11 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
10% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 37°
0% rain — W 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
53° 41°
0% rain — SW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 41°
0% rain — SW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 46°
0% rain — SW 13 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 42°
0% rain — WSW 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Middlebury about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,280 miles back along its path. It came down from about 8,900 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

76° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1952. Next is 69° in 2012.

69°
76°
20122020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Warsaw 6 SW record since 1952.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Middlebury stands on

Middlebury’s center stands about 1,590 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 950 ft to 1,630 ft, a difference of 680 ft: hilly country.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Nunda Formation (sandstone), from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 9 rock units mapped at the surface.

Middlebury, cut in half from southwest to northeast

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
1,000 ft1,250 ft1,500 ft1,750 ft MIDDLEBURY1,590 ftOrangeville1,830 ftWheelers Hill1,630 ftPavilion980 ftLow point910 ft ← SWLe Roy · NE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 19×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Machias Formation

Shale, siltstone, sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Angola and Rhinestreet Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 5 mi of the line.

Ludlowville Formation

Shale, limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 388 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Nunda Formation

Sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Cashaqua and Middlesex Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Skaneateles Formation

Shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 3 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Middlebury’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Middlebury reaches Lake Ontario by way of Middlebury Brook, Little Tonawanda Creek, Tonawanda Creek and the Niagara: about 110 river miles. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Middlebury≈ 110 mi · Lake Ontario
FROM THE CENTER OF MIDDLEBURY ≈ 110 mi to Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence Middlebury Brook → Little Tonawanda Creek → Tonawanda Creek → Niagara

70 miles of the trip are on Tonawanda Creek.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Middlebury; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Middlebury’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1952 · Warsaw 6 SW, 11 mi south-southwest

Middlebury has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 76° in July; winter nights fall to about 13° in January. About 45 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

28°13°30°14°38°21°51°32°64°44°72°54°76°58°75°57°68°49°56°39°44°29°33°20° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY MIDDLEBURY 45.2 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average76° / 58°high / low, the warmest month
January, average28° / 13°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year45.2 inwettest months: July and October
Hottest on record99°FJuly 6, 1988
Coldest on record−30°FJanuary 15, 1957
Wettest day on record3.31 inAugust 14, 1955
Snowiest day on record18.0 inDecember 26, 2017
Nights at or below 32°160and 74 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 12, to the last in spring, about May 8 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingDec. 18 to Feb. 26; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 6 to April 16; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Middlebury normally reaches 44° and falls to 30°. The record high is 65°, in 1989; the record low 10°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.72 in, fell in 1992.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high28°30°38°51°64°72°76°75°68°56°44°33°
Normal low13°14°21°32°44°54°58°57°49°39°29°20°
Rain, inches3.532.723.103.513.954.284.384.014.064.343.693.62
Record high64° (2013)69° (2017)80° (1986)86° (1990)88° (2026)92° (1957)99° (1988)91° (1975)95° (1988)83° (2007)76° (2020)70° (1982)
Record low−30° (1957)−28° (1979)−18° (1967)5° (1954)20° (1966)29° (1964)36° (1965)30° (1965)25° (1964)7° (1965)−4° (1971)−23° (1980)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1952 at Warsaw 6 SW, 11 miles south-southwest, 230 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Middlebury on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Rochester NY · 35 MI 35 miles northeast Buffalo NY · 37 MI 37 miles west Syracuse NY · 102 MI 102 miles east Erie PA · 110 MI 110 miles southwest Utica NY · 148 MI 148 miles east Scranton PA · 160 MI 160 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Middlebury, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · WYOMING

Middlebury

1,316 people, 1,590 ft above sea level in Wyoming County.

1,590 ftElevation
1,316People
36 sq miLand
Clear 40°
ClearDew point 35°
1

Today in Middlebury

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 40° 0%
8p rain 40° 36%
11p mostly cloudy night 38° 12%
2a mostly cloudy night 37° 2%
5a mostly cloudy night 35° 2%
8a mostly cloudy day 37° 7%
Overcast
NEXT RAINTonight about 7 PM · 37%
→
Sat40%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
35
41
A
Sun10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
48
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
41
53
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

76°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1952.

2

What Middlebury stands on

Middlebury’s center stands about 1,590 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 950 ft to 1,630 ft, a difference of 680 ft: hilly country.

Middlebury, southwest to northeast Middlebury1,590 ftWheelers Hill1,630 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 36×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,590 ft
Within 3 miles950 to 1,630 ft
Lie of the landHilly (680 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceNunda Formation
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Middlebury’s year

Middlebury has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 76° in July; winter nights fall to about 13° in January. About 45 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 45.2 in
July, average76° / 58° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average28° / 13° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year45.2 in · wettest months: July and October
Hottest on record99°F · July 6, 1988
Coldest on record−30°F · January 15, 1957
Wettest day on record3.31 in · August 14, 1955
Snowiest day on record18.0 in · December 26, 2017
Nights at or below 32°160 · and 74 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 12, to the last in spring, about May 8 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Dec. 18 to Feb. 26; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 6 to April 16; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Middlebury normally reaches 44° and falls to 30°. The record high is 65°, in 1989; the record low 10°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.72 in, fell in 1992.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1952 at Warsaw 6 SW, 11 miles south-southwest, 230 ft higher. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 110 mito Lake OntarioMiddlebury Brook → Little Tonawanda Creek → Tonawanda Creek → Niagara

A raindrop that lands in Middlebury reaches Lake Ontario by way of Middlebury Brook, Little Tonawanda Creek, Tonawanda Creek and the Niagara: about 110 river miles. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

70 miles of the trip are on Tonawanda Creek.