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Shaded-relief map of Orchard Park, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · ERIE COUNTY

Orchard Park

3,046 people, 890 ft above sea level in Erie County.

890 ftElevation, city center
3,046People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Clear 39°
Clear now Dew point 37° · NW 13 mph · high 41°
City of Orchard Park River Interstate 2 miles
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The Orchard Park plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Orchard Park

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 6:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Greater Buffalo International Airport (KBUF) · 6:54 PM
Clear
39° Clear Feels like 31° · high of 41° near 7 PM
WindNW 13 mphgusts 25
Humidity93%rising to 96% by morning
Pressure29.98 in →steady
Visibility4 mihazy
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 37° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 120.04 in · 2 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Erie County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 7:20 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:05 AM4:53 PM ↓
9 h 48 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 27% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
20
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
overcast
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
TEMPERATURE °F
41°
35°
42°
36°
46°
39°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
12
9
8
8
8
10
10
7
6
5
5
5
6
8
10
10
9
8
8
10
12
16
19
16
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 31 to 39°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 48° / 35°
SAT Nov. 14 Cloudy Cloudy
41° 35°
30% rain — NW 11 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
44° 36°
10% rain — NNW 9 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
48° 37°
0% rain — W 8 A
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 41°
0% rain — SW 13 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 41°
0% rain — SSW 10 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 46°
0% rain — SW 13 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 42°
0% rain — WSW 7 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Orchard Park about 5,000 feet above the ground was over British Columbia three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,540 miles back along its path. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 1933 Nov. 15, 1933

The coldest this week has been

8° on Nov. 15, 1933, the coldest reading for this week of the year since 1871. Next is 9° in 1967.

9°
8°
19671933
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Buffalo Area threaded record since 1871.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Orchard Park stands on

Orchard Park’s center stands about 890 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 710 ft to 1,190 ft, a difference of 480 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is South Hill, about 1,820 ft, 12 miles south-southeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Angola and Rhinestreet Shales, from the Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old.

The section below crosses 9 rock units mapped at the surface.

Buffalo to Holland, cut in half

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft1,000 ft1,500 ft ORCHARD PARK890 ftLow point560 ftLackawanna610 ftHigh point of the line1,670 ft ← NW · BuffaloHolland · SE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 17×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Angola and Rhinestreet Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Machias Formation

Shale, siltstone, sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 7 mi of the line.

Skaneateles Formation

Shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Marcellus Formation

Black-shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 388 to 394 million years old. About 1 mi of the line.

Ludlowville Formation

Shale, limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 388 million years old. About 0.9 mi of the line.

Onondaga and Bois Blanc Limestones

Limestone. Age: Early Devonian to Middle Devonian, 388 to 410 million years old. About 0.9 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 3 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Orchard Park’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Orchard Park reaches Lake Erie by way of Smoke Creek: about 13 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Orchard Park≈ 13 mi · Lake Erie
FROM THE CENTER OF ORCHARD PARK ≈ 13 mi to Lake Erie and the St. Lawrence Smoke Creek

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Orchard Park; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Orchard Park’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1871 · Buffalo Niagara International Airpor, 12 mi north

Orchard Park has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in January. A normal year brings about 95 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 41 inches of water.

32°19°33°20°42°26°55°36°67°48°76°58°80°63°79°62°72°54°60°44°48°34°37°26° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY ORCHARD PARK 40.7 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average80° / 63°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 19°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow40.7 inwettest months: September and October
Snow a year95.4 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record99°FAugust 27, 1948
Coldest on record−20°FFebruary 2, 1961
Wettest day on record5.01 inJune 22, 1987
Snowiest day on record33.9 inDecember 10, 1995
90° days a year3on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°124and 49 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 25 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 10 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 21 to April 5; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Orchard Park normally reaches 48° and falls to 35°. The record high is 69°, in 1994; the record low 15°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.93 in, fell in 1871.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°33°42°55°67°76°80°79°72°60°48°37°
Normal low19°20°26°36°48°58°63°62°54°44°34°26°
Rain and melt, in3.352.492.893.373.373.373.233.234.104.033.503.75
Snow, inches26.718.114.12.50.00.00.00.00.00.97.825.3
Record high72° (1950)71° (2017)82° (2012)94° (1990)94° (1911)97° (1933)98° (2020)99° (1948)98° (1953)92° (1927)80° (1961)74° (1982)
Record low−16° (1982)−20° (1961)−7° (1984)5° (1923)25° (1926)35° (1945)43° (1945)38° (1982)32° (1991)20° (1965)2° (1875)−10° (1980)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 from the Buffalo Area threaded record (Buffalo Niagara International Airpor, 12 miles north, 180 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Orchard Park on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Buffalo NY · 11 MI 11 miles northwest Amherst NY · 17 MI 17 miles north Greece NY · 63 MI 63 miles northeast Rochester NY · 63 MI 63 miles northeast Erie PA · 81 MI 81 miles southwest Syracuse NY · 133 MI 133 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Orchard Park, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · ERIE

Orchard Park

3,046 people, 890 ft above sea level in Erie County.

890 ftElevation
3,046People
1 sq miLand
Clear 39°
ClearDew point 37°
1

Today in Orchard Park

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now overcast 41° 19%
10p overcast 39° 15%
1a overcast 37° 1%
4a mostly cloudy night 35° 2%
7a mostly cloudy day 35° 9%
10a mostly cloudy day 41° 2%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat30%
Cloudy Cloudy
35
41
A
Sun10%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
44
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
37
48
A
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
53
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
41
54
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
46
57
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
57
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 1933 · NOV. 15, 1933

8°, the coldest this week of the year has been since 1871.

2

What Orchard Park stands on

Orchard Park’s center stands about 890 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 710 ft to 1,190 ft, a difference of 480 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is South Hill, about 1,820 ft, 12 miles south-southeast.

Orchard Park, northwest to southeast Orchard Park890 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 33×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center890 ft
Within 3 miles710 to 1,190 ft
Lie of the landHilly (480 ft of relief)
High point nearbySouth Hill, 1,820 ft, 12 mi south-southeast
Rock at the surfaceAngola and Rhinestreet Shales
Its ageLate Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old
5

Orchard Park’s year

Orchard Park has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 19° in January. A normal year brings about 95 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 41 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 40.7 in
July, average80° / 63° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 19° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow40.7 in · wettest months: September and October
Snow a year95.4 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record99°F · August 27, 1948
Coldest on record−20°F · February 2, 1961
Wettest day on record5.01 in · June 22, 1987
Snowiest day on record33.9 in · December 10, 1995
90° days a year3 · on average, 1991–2020
Nights at or below 32°124 · and 49 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 28, to the last in spring, about April 25 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 10 to Feb. 12; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 21 to April 5; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Orchard Park normally reaches 48° and falls to 35°. The record high is 69°, in 1994; the record low 15°, in 1986. The most rain on this date, 1.93 in, fell in 1871.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1871 from the Buffalo Area threaded record (Buffalo Niagara International Airpor, 12 miles north, 180 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 13 mito Lake Erie and the St. LawrenceSmoke Creek

A raindrop that lands in Orchard Park reaches Lake Erie by way of Smoke Creek: about 13 river miles. From there it moves on through the Great Lakes, over Niagara Falls and down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.