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Shaded-relief map of Pavilion, New York: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
NEW YORK · GENESEE COUNTY

Pavilion

2,235 people, 960 ft above sea level in Genesee County.

960 ftElevation, city center
2,235People, 2024 estimate
36 sq miLand area
Sunny 37°
Sunny now Dew point 36° · WNW 10 mph · high 39°
City of Pavilion River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Pavilion plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Pavilion

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Genesee County Airport (KGVQ) · 4:37 PM
Sunny
37° Sunny Feels like 30° · high of 39° near 7 PM
WindWNW 10 mphno gusts
Humidity93%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure29.90 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 36° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Rain
Today, about 5 PMin about 1 hours · 50% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAIN—none in 31 days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Genesee County
NWS Buffalo and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 4:46 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:02 AM4:50 PM ↓
9 h 47 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
19
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 22, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
rain
rain
overcast
overcast
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
38°
35°
41°
37°
45°
38°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50% · 0.08 in Saturday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
12
10
9
7
7
7
9
9
7
5
5
5
5
6
8
9
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7
7
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13
15
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 34 to 42°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Chance of showers Chance of showers
39° 34°
50% rain — WNW 12 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
43° 35°
20% rain — NNW 8 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
47° 36°
0% rain — W 8 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
54° 40°
0% rain — WSW 12 A
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55° 40°
0% rain — SW 7 A
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
59° 45°
0% rain — SW 9 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
58° 42°
0% rain — WSW 3 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Pavilion about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,350 miles back along its path. It came down from about 10,000 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 12, 2020

The hottest this week has been

79° on Nov. 12, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1893. Next is 78° in 1896.

78°
79°
18962020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Mount Morris 2 W record since 1893.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Pavilion stands on

Pavilion’s center stands about 960 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 930 ft to 1,310 ft, a difference of 380 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Oak Hill, about 1,740 ft, 13 miles south.

The section below crosses 10 rock units mapped at the surface.

Attica to Caledonia, cut in half

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
500 ft1,000 ft1,500 ft PAVILION960 ftAttica1,580 ftDoyle Hill1,660 ftLow point600 ft ← W · AtticaCaledonia · E →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 16×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Angola and Rhinestreet Shales

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Genesee Group

Shale, limestone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 4 mi of the line.

Ludlowville Formation

Shale, limestone. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 388 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Onondaga and Bois Blanc Limestones

Limestone. Age: Early Devonian to Middle Devonian, 388 to 410 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Wiscoy Formation

Sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Skaneateles Formation

Shale. Age: Middle Devonian, 384 to 394 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 4 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Pavilion’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Pavilion reaches Lake Ontario by way of Oatka Creek and the Genesee: about 50 river miles. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Pavilion≈ 50 mi · Lake Ontario
FROM THE CENTER OF PAVILION ≈ 50 mi to Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence Oatka Creek → Genesee

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Pavilion; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Pavilion’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1893 · Mount Morris 2 W, 12 mi south-southeast

Pavilion has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. About 33 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

31°15°34°17°42°24°56°35°69°47°77°56°81°60°79°58°73°51°60°41°48°32°37°23° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY PAVILION 33.1 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average81° / 60°high / low, the warmest month
January, average31° / 15°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year33.1 inwettest months: July and June
Hottest on record102°FJuly 4, 1897
Coldest on record−22°FJanuary 15, 1957
Wettest day on record4.25 inOctober 1, 1959
Snowiest day on record23.0 inFebruary 26, 1979
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Highs below freezingJan. 1 to Feb. 9; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezingNov. 13 to April 10; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretchJune through August: 11.3 of the year’s 33.1 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Pavilion normally reaches 49° and falls to 32°. The record high is 73°, in 2011; the record low 15°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.67 in, fell in 1972.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high31°34°42°56°69°77°81°79°73°60°48°37°
Normal low15°17°24°35°47°56°60°58°51°41°32°23°
Rain, inches1.871.492.142.653.123.844.103.353.003.062.332.10
Record high75° (1897)74° (2017)83° (1990)93° (1990)95° (1895)100° (1895)102° (1897)99° (1897)98° (1953)88° (1951)84° (1896)72° (1982)
Record low−22° (1957)−19° (1979)−7° (1950)10° (1982)24° (1990)31° (1894)35° (1898)35° (1899)25° (1929)20° (1988)4° (1976)−17° (1899)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 at Mount Morris 2 W, 12 miles south-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Pavilion on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Rochester NY · 27 MI 27 miles northeast Amherst NY · 38 MI 38 miles west Buffalo NY · 43 MI 43 miles west Syracuse NY · 95 MI 95 miles east Erie PA · 118 MI 118 miles southwest Scranton PA · 159 MI 159 miles southeast
FORECASTCITY
Map of Pavilion, New York. Explore the plate
NEW YORK · GENESEE

Pavilion

2,235 people, 960 ft above sea level in Genesee County.

960 ftElevation
2,235People
36 sq miLand
Sunny 37°
SunnyDew point 36°
1

Today in Pavilion

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 38° 0%
7p rain 39° 50%
10p overcast 38° 22%
1a overcast 37° 3%
4a mostly cloudy night 36° 2%
7a mostly cloudy day 36° 1%
Rain
NEXT RAINToday about 5 PM · 50%
→
Sat50%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
34
39
A
Sun20%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
35
43
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
36
47
B
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
40
54
A
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
40
55
A
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
45
59
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
42
58
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 12, 2020

79°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1893.

2

What Pavilion stands on

Pavilion’s center stands about 960 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 930 ft to 1,310 ft, a difference of 380 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Oak Hill, about 1,740 ft, 13 miles south.

Pavilion, west to east Pavilion960 ftDoyle Hill1,660 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 31×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center960 ft
Within 3 miles930 to 1,310 ft
Lie of the landRolling (380 ft of relief)
High point nearbyOak Hill, 1,740 ft, 13 mi south
5

Pavilion’s year

Pavilion has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 81° in July; winter nights fall to about 15° in January. About 33 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 33.1 in
July, average81° / 60° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average31° / 15° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year33.1 in · wettest months: July and June
Hottest on record102°F · July 4, 1897
Coldest on record−22°F · January 15, 1957
Wettest day on record4.25 in · October 1, 1959
Snowiest day on record23.0 in · February 26, 1979
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Highs below freezing · Jan. 1 to Feb. 9; normal highs stay below 32°
2Lows below freezing · Nov. 13 to April 10; normal lows fall below 32°
3Wettest stretch · June through August: 11.3 of the year’s 33.1 inches
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Pavilion normally reaches 49° and falls to 32°. The record high is 73°, in 2011; the record low 15°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.67 in, fell in 1972.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1893 at Mount Morris 2 W, 12 miles south-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 50 mito Lake OntarioOatka Creek → Genesee

A raindrop that lands in Pavilion reaches Lake Ontario by way of Oatka Creek and the Genesee: about 50 river miles. From the lake it goes down the St. Lawrence to the Atlantic.