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Shaded-relief map of Bear Lake, Pennsylvania: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
PENNSYLVANIA · WARREN COUNTY

Bear Lake

143 people, 1,560 ft above sea level in Warren County.

1,560 ftElevation, city center
143People, 2024 estimate
1 sq miLand area
Sunny 37°
Sunny now Dew point 35° · NW 20 mph · high 38°
City of Bear Lake River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Bear Lake plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bear Lake

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Chautauqua County/Jamestown Airport (KJHW) · 3:56 PM
Sunny
37° Sunny Feels like 27° · high of 38° near 4 PM
WindNW 20 mphno gusts
Humidity92%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure29.91 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 35° · Dryabout the same for three days
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow, about 6 AMin about 13 hours · 32% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 130.21 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Warren County
NWS State College and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 4:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:06 AM4:58 PM ↓
9 h 51 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
25
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 15, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
4p
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10p
1a
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7p
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1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
38°
33°
40°
34°
43°
30°
CHANCE OF RAIN
32% · 0.02 in Sunday morning 50%
WIND, MPH
10
10
8
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3
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HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 30 to 38° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 37° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
38° 31°
30% rain — NW 10 A
SUN Nov. 15 Chance of showers Chance of showers
42° 32°
30% rain up to 0.05″ N 7 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
45° 28°
0% rain — NW 4 A
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
50° 28°
0% rain — SW 2 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
53° 31°
0% rain — S 3 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
56° 39°
0% rain — SSW 6 B
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
57° 39°
0% rain — SW 1 C
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bear Lake about 5,000 feet above the ground was over Canada three days ago, and over Ontario a day ago, about 2,590 miles back along its path. It came down from about 11,300 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from British Columbia. It has stayed over land, which is why it feels dry. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

77° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1895. Next is 73° in 1990.

73°
77°
19902020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Jamestown Area threaded record since 1895.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bear Lake stands on

Bear Lake’s center stands about 1,560 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,430 ft to 1,840 ft, a difference of 410 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Jackson Hill, about 1,980 ft, 10 miles south.

The section below crosses 7 rock units mapped at the surface.

Concord to Lakewood, cut in half

A section southwest to northeast, 24 miles through the town center
1,400 ft1,600 ft1,800 ft BEAR LAKE1,560 ftBrokenstraw Creekabout 1,390 ftColumbus1,480 ftHumphrey Hill1,790 ftLow point1,300 ft ← SW · ConcordLakewood · NE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 34×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Venango Formation

Siltstone, conglomerate. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Conneaut Group, undivided

Shale, sandstone. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Corry Sandstone through Riceville Formation, undivided

Sandstone, shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Oswayo and Venango Formations

Shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Cuyahoga Group

Siltstone, shale. Age: Carboniferous, 324 to 359 million years old. About 0.6 mi of the line.

Chadakoin Formation

Siltstone, shale. Age: Late Devonian, 359 to 384 million years old. About 0.6 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 1 smaller unit along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bear Lake’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bear Lake reaches the Gulf of America by way of Little Brokenstraw Creek, Brokenstraw Creek, the Allegheny, the Ohio and the Mississippi: about 2,150 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bear Lake≈ 2,150 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF BEAR LAKE ≈ 2,150 mi to the Gulf of America Little Brokenstraw Creek → Brokenstraw Creek → Allegheny → Ohio → Mississippi

970 miles of the trip are on the Ohio.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bear Lake; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bear Lake’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1895 · Jamestown 4 ENE, 19 mi east-northeast

Bear Lake has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in January. A normal year brings about 98 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 46 inches of water.

32°16°35°16°44°23°57°34°69°44°76°54°80°58°79°56°73°49°61°39°48°31°37°23° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 TODAY BEAR LAKE 45.9 in rain and snowmelt
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average80° / 58°high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 16°high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow45.9 inwettest months: July and June
Snow a year98.4 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record103°FJune 21, 1988
Coldest on record−31°FFebruary 17, 2015
Wettest day on record4.52 inOctober 16, 1954
Snowiest day on record23.0 inMarch 17, 1936
90° days a year5none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°154and 51 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continentalKöppen Dfb

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Oct. 11, to the last in spring, about May 16 (median dates)
2Highs below freezingJan. 11 to Feb. 4; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezingNov. 8 to April 11; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Lake normally reaches 49° and falls to 31°. The record high is 71°, in 2010; the record low 7°, in 1905. The most rain on this date, 0.88 in, fell in 1988.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high32°35°44°57°69°76°80°79°73°61°48°37°
Normal low16°16°23°34°44°54°58°56°49°39°31°23°
Rain and melt, in3.812.703.163.913.944.364.553.594.194.113.693.92
Snow, inches29.819.315.32.70.00.00.00.00.00.49.321.6
Record high72° (1950)73° (2017)82° (1998)92° (1990)93° (1929)103° (1988)100° (1936)99° (1988)98° (1953)88° (1951)80° (1950)73° (1982)
Record low−31° (1904)−31° (2015)−23° (2015)−1° (1923)19° (1987)27° (1986)36° (1985)28° (1986)24° (1904)13° (1985)−6° (1903)−21° (1988)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1895 from the Jamestown Area threaded record (Jamestown 4 ENE, 19 miles east-northeast, 310 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bear Lake on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Jamestown NY · 15 MI 15 miles northeast Erie PA · 31 MI 31 miles west Buffalo NY · 70 MI 70 miles northeast Pittsburgh PA · 110 MI 110 miles south Cleveland OH · 118 MI 118 miles west Detroit MI · 187 MI 187 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bear Lake, Pennsylvania. Explore the plate
PENNSYLVANIA · WARREN

Bear Lake

143 people, 1,560 ft above sea level in Warren County.

1,560 ftElevation
143People
1 sq miLand
Sunny 37°
SunnyDew point 35°
1

Today in Bear Lake

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly cloudy day 38° 0%
7p mostly cloudy night 37° 11%
10p mostly cloudy night 35° 20%
1a mostly cloudy night 34° 25%
4a mostly cloudy night 34° 22%
7a mostly cloudy day 33° 25%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 6 AM · 32%
→
Sat30%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
31
38
A
Sun30%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
32
42
A
Mon0%
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
28
45
A
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
28
50
B
Wed0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
31
53
B
Thu0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
56
B
Fri0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
39
57
C
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

77°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1895.

2

What Bear Lake stands on

Bear Lake’s center stands about 1,560 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 1,430 ft to 1,840 ft, a difference of 410 ft: hilly country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Jackson Hill, about 1,980 ft, 10 miles south.

Bear Lake, southwest to northeast Bear Lake1,560 ftBrokenstraw Creekabout 1,390 ft ← SWNE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 64×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center1,560 ft
Within 3 miles1,430 to 1,840 ft
Lie of the landHilly (410 ft of relief)
High point nearbyJackson Hill, 1,980 ft, 10 mi south
5

Bear Lake’s year

Bear Lake has a warm-summer humid continental climate. Summer afternoons average 80° in July; winter nights fall to about 16° in January. A normal year brings about 98 inches of snow; with the rain, that comes to about 46 inches of water.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 123 45.9 in
July, average80° / 58° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average32° / 16° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain and melted snow45.9 in · wettest months: July and June
Snow a year98.4 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record103°F · June 21, 1988
Coldest on record−31°F · February 17, 2015
Wettest day on record4.52 in · October 16, 1954
Snowiest day on record23.0 in · March 17, 1936
90° days a year5 · none reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°154 · and 51 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeWarm-summer humid continental · Köppen Dfb
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Oct. 11, to the last in spring, about May 16 (median dates)
2Highs below freezing · Jan. 11 to Feb. 4; normal highs stay below 32°
3Lows below freezing · Nov. 8 to April 11; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bear Lake normally reaches 49° and falls to 31°. The record high is 71°, in 2010; the record low 7°, in 1905. The most rain on this date, 0.88 in, fell in 1988.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1895 from the Jamestown Area threaded record (Jamestown 4 ENE, 19 miles east-northeast, 310 ft lower). NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 2,150 mito the Gulf of AmericaLittle Brokenstraw Creek → Brokenstraw Creek → Allegheny → Ohio → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Bear Lake reaches the Gulf of America by way of Little Brokenstraw Creek, Brokenstraw Creek, the Allegheny, the Ohio and the Mississippi: about 2,150 river miles.

970 miles of the trip are on the Ohio.