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Shaded-relief map of Rarity Bay, Tennessee: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
TENNESSEE · MONROE COUNTY

Rarity Bay

885 people, 900 ft above sea level in Monroe County.

900 ftElevation, city center
885People, 2024 estimate
2 sq miLand area
Sunny 48°
Sunny now Dew point 28° · Calm · high 48°
City of Rarity Bay River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Rarity Bay plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Rarity Bay

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM EST
RIGHT NOW Monroe County Airport (KMNV) · 4:55 PM
Sunny
48° Sunny Feels like 48° · high of 48° near 5 PM
WindCalmno gusts
Humidity46%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.20 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 28° · Dry42° by Tuesday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Clear
Not this weeknone in the forecast for a week
LIKELY AMOUNT—nothing expected
LAST RAINNov. 130.04 in · 1 dry day
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Monroe County
NWS Morristown and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 5:17 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 7:11 AM5:31 PM ↓
10 h 19 m of daylight, 2 minutes less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
30
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: 44, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
5p
8p
11p
2a
5a
8a
11a
2p
clear night
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
clear day
clear night
clear night
clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
clear day
clear day
TEMPERATURE °F
48°
29°
55°
31°
57°
31°
CHANCE OF RAIN
50%
WIND, MPH
5
3
2
2
2
3
9
8
5
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Dry: dew points 29 to 40° ↑ Humid air returns More humid: 41° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
48° 28°
0% rain — N 7 A
SUN Nov. 15 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55° 29°
0% rain — NE 6 A
MON Nov. 16 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
58° 29°
0% rain — NNE 2 B
TUE Nov. 17 Sunny Sunny
62° 30°
0% rain — ENE 1 A
WED Nov. 18 Sunny Sunny
64° 32°
0% rain — ENE 1 B
THU Nov. 19 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
66° 36°
0% rain — ENE 5 B
FRI Nov. 20 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
68° 37°
0% rain — ENE 1 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Rarity Bay about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Pacific off the Northwest three days ago, and over the central Plains a day ago, about 3,010 miles back along its path. It came down from about 13,500 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Canadian Prairies; at 10,000 feet, from the Pacific off the Northwest. Air off the water carries moisture, which is why it feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses and the GFS beyond them, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO Nov. 11, 2020

The hottest this week has been

81° on Nov. 11, 2020, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1948. Next is 80° in 1985.

80°
81°
19852020
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Lenoir City record since 1948.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Rarity Bay stands on

Rarity Bay’s center stands about 900 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 810 ft to 1,080 ft, a difference of 270 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Cockspur Knob, about 2,670 ft, 14 miles east-southeast.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Knox Group, including Newala Formation, Mascot Dolomite, Kingsport Formation, Longview Dolomite, Chepultepec Dolomite, and Copper Ridge Dolomite (dolostone, limestone), from the Cambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old.

The section below crosses 14 rock units mapped at the surface.

Rarity Bay, cut in half from northwest to southeast

A section northwest to southeast, 24 miles through the town center
1,000 ft1,500 ft RARITY BAY900 ftPhiladelphia890 ftTerry Knob1,240 ftNinemile Creekabout 810 ftHigh point of the line1,930 ft ← NWSE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 17×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Unnamed (upper part of Knox Group), including Newala Formation, Mascot Dolomite, Kingsport Formation, Longview Dolomite, and Chepultepec Dolomite

Dolostone, limestone. Age: Ordovician, 445 to 487 million years old. About 6 mi of the line.

Knox Group, including Newala Formation, Mascot Dolomite, Kingsport Formation, Longview Dolomite, Chepultepec Dolomite, and Copper Ridge Dolomite

Dolostone, limestone. Age: Cambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Copper Ridge Dolomite

Dolostone. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 3 mi of the line.

Athens Shale

Shale. Age: Ordovician, 445 to 487 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Ottosee Shale

Shale. Age: Ordovician, 445 to 487 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

Nolichucky Shale, and Maryville, Rogersville, and Rutledge Formations, and Pumpkin Valley Shale

Shale. Age: Cambrian, 487 to 542 million years old. About 2 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale. 8 smaller units along the line are not listed.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Rarity Bay’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Rarity Bay reaches the Gulf of America by way of the Tennessee, the Ohio and the Mississippi: about 1,620 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Rarity Bay≈ 1,620 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF RARITY BAY ≈ 1,620 mi to the Gulf of America Tennessee → Ohio → Mississippi

Lakes on the way: Guntersville Lake, White Lake (historical), Pickwick Lake and Cummings Lake.

970 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Rarity Bay; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Rarity Bay’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1948 · Lenoir City, 11 mi north

Rarity Bay has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 89° in July; winter nights fall to about 28° in January. About 55 inches of rain fall in a normal year, with about 4 inches of snow.

49°28°53°31°62°37°71°46°79°55°86°64°89°68°88°67°83°60°73°48°61°37°52°31° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 TODAY RARITY BAY 55.2 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month Freezing
July, average89° / 68°high / low, the warmest month
January, average49° / 28°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year55.2 inwettest months: December and February
Snow a year4.0 insnowiest: January
Hottest on record106°FJuly 1, 2012
Coldest on record−14°FJanuary 21, 1985
Wettest day on record6.12 inSeptember 18, 2012
Snowiest day on record10.3 inJanuary 16, 2024
90° days a year43very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°77and 4 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Freeze seasonfrom the first fall freeze, about Nov. 2, to the last in spring, about April 2 (median dates)
2Lows below freezingDec. 7 to Feb. 23; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Rarity Bay normally reaches 62° and falls to 37°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 19°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.82 in, fell in 2024.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high49°53°62°71°79°86°89°88°83°73°61°52°
Normal low28°31°37°46°55°64°68°67°60°48°37°31°
Rain, inches4.995.225.095.164.294.245.123.824.253.024.145.86
Snow, inches1.61.30.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.10.4
Record high76° (2022)80° (2018)85° (2012)91° (1995)95° (1983)102° (2012)106° (2012)104° (2007)99° (2026)97° (2019)85° (2016)77° (1982)
Record low−14° (1985)−7° (1996)1° (1980)23° (2011)32° (1971)39° (1966)50° (1972)48° (1968)33° (1967)24° (1962)11° (1976)−5° (1983)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Lenoir City, 11 miles north, 120 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Rarity Bay on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Oak Ridge TN · 23 MI 23 miles north Knoxville TN · 29 MI 29 miles northeast Atlanta GA · 130 MI 130 miles south Nashville TN · 147 MI 147 miles west Louisville KY · 191 MI 191 miles northwest Charlotte NC · 195 MI 195 miles east
FORECASTCITY
Map of Rarity Bay, Tennessee. Explore the plate
TENNESSEE · MONROE

Rarity Bay

885 people, 900 ft above sea level in Monroe County.

900 ftElevation
885People
2 sq miLand
Sunny 48°
SunnyDew point 28°
1

Today in Rarity Bay

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now mostly sunny 48° 0%
8p clear night 37° 0%
11p clear night 33° 0%
2a clear night 32° 0%
5a mostly clear night 30° 0%
8a mostly sunny 31° 0%
Clear
NEXT RAINNone this week
→
Sat0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
28
48
A
Sun0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
29
55
A
Mon0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
29
58
B
Tue0%
Sunny Sunny
30
62
A
Wed0%
Sunny Sunny
32
64
B
Thu0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
36
66
B
Fri0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
37
68
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, SIX YEARS AGO · NOV. 11, 2020

81°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1948.

2

What Rarity Bay stands on

Rarity Bay’s center stands about 900 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 810 ft to 1,080 ft, a difference of 270 ft: rolling country. The highest named summit within 15 miles is Cockspur Knob, about 2,670 ft, 14 miles east-southeast.

Rarity Bay, northwest to southeast Rarity Bay900 ftTerry Knob1,240 ft ← NWSE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 33×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center900 ft
Within 3 miles810 to 1,080 ft
Lie of the landRolling (270 ft of relief)
High point nearbyCockspur Knob, 2,670 ft, 14 mi east-southeast
Rock at the surfaceKnox Group, including Newala Formation, Mascot Dolomite, Kingsport Formation, Longview Dolomite, Chepultepec Dolomite, and Copper Ridge Dolomite
Its ageCambrian to Ordovician, 445 to 542 million years old
5

Rarity Bay’s year

Rarity Bay has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 89° in July; winter nights fall to about 28° in January. About 55 inches of rain fall in a normal year, with about 4 inches of snow.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 12 55.2 in
July, average89° / 68° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average49° / 28° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year55.2 in · wettest months: December and February
Snow a year4.0 in · snowiest: January
Hottest on record106°F · July 1, 2012
Coldest on record−14°F · January 21, 1985
Wettest day on record6.12 in · September 18, 2012
Snowiest day on record10.3 in · January 16, 2024
90° days a year43 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°77 · and 4 days that stay below freezing
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Freeze season · from the first fall freeze, about Nov. 2, to the last in spring, about April 2 (median dates)
2Lows below freezing · Dec. 7 to Feb. 23; normal lows fall below 32°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Rarity Bay normally reaches 62° and falls to 37°. The record high is 80°, in 1985; the record low 19°, in 2019. The most rain on this date, 0.82 in, fell in 2024.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1948 at Lenoir City, 11 miles north, 120 ft lower. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 1,620 mito the Gulf of AmericaTennessee → Ohio → Mississippi

A raindrop that lands in Rarity Bay reaches the Gulf of America by way of the Tennessee, the Ohio and the Mississippi: about 1,620 river miles.

Lakes on the way: Guntersville Lake, White Lake (historical), Pickwick Lake and Cummings Lake.

970 miles of the trip are on the Mississippi.