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Shaded-relief map of Bailey's Prairie, Texas: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
TEXAS · BRAZORIA COUNTY

Bailey's Prairie

799 people, 50 ft above sea level in Brazoria County.

50 ftElevation, city center
799People, 2024 estimate
7 sq miLand area
Sunny 65°
Sunny now Dew point 56° · E 13 mph · high 66°
City of Bailey's Prairie River Interstate 2 miles
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The Bailey's Prairie plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Bailey's Prairie

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 4:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Brazoria County Airport (KLBX) · 3:53 PM
Sunny
65° Sunny Feels like 65° · high of 66° near 4 PM
WindE 13 mphgusts 23
Humidity73%rising to 100% by morning
Pressure30.06 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 56° · Comfortable66° by Sunday: more humid
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow, about 5 AMin about 12 hours · 89% chance · rain
LIKELY AMOUNT—amounts come within 3 days
LAST RAINNov. 110.15 in · 3 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
! Wind AdvisoryWind Advisory issued November 14 at 1:34PM CST until November 16 at 3:00PM CST by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
! Wind AdvisoryWind Advisory issued November 14 at 1:34PM CST until November 16 at 6:00PM CST by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
! Beach Hazards StatementBeach Hazards Statement issued November 14 at 1:14PM CST until November 16 at 12:00PM CST by NWS Houston/Galveston TX
Sunday · severe storm risk
1 of 5
Marginal: isolated severe storms are possible.
NWS Houston/Galveston and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 4:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:44 AM5:28 PM ↓
10 h 43 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 26% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
43
GOODAir quality index · ozone
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
rain
rain
rain
rain
rain
rain
rain
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
mostly sunny
TEMPERATURE °F
66°
65°
69°
54°
58°
52°
CHANCE OF RAIN
89% · 1.96 in Sunday afternoon 50%
WIND, MPH
20
18
16
14
15
14
15
12
14
20
20
18
18
18
17
16
14
15
12
10
11
12
12
11
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Comfortable: dew points 49 to 66°

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 74° / 53°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
66° 61°
10% rain — E 20, gusts 28 A
SUN Nov. 15 Showers likely Showers likely
71° 50°
90% rain 1.1–3.3″ ESE 14, gusts 31 B
MON Nov. 16 Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
61° 48°
80% rain — NNE 17, gusts 30 B
TUE Nov. 17 Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
67° 55°
0% rain — ENE 7 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
75° 62°
10% rain — ENE 10 B
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 61°
20% rain — E 7 C
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
76° 63°
10% rain — E 8 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Bailey's Prairie about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Mississippi Valley three days ago, about 570 miles back along its path. The nine paths traced from around the city fan out, so treat that as a best guess. It came down from about 10,700 feet up, warming and drying as it sank. Near the ground the air came from the Carolinas; at 10,000 feet, from the Ozarks. It feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK IN 2011 Nov. 17, 2011

The hottest this week has been

89° on Nov. 17, 2011, the hottest reading for this week of the year since 1931. Next is 89° in 2015.

89°
89°
20152011
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Freeport 2 NW record since 1931.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Bailey's Prairie stands on

Bailey's Prairie’s center stands about 50 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 20 ft to 70 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground.

Under the town center the state geologic map shows Alluvium (fine-detrital, coarse-detrital), from the Holocene, less than 12,000 years old.

The section below crosses 2 rock units mapped at the surface.

Bailey's Prairie, cut in half from south to north

A section south to north, 24 miles through the town center
0 ft BAILEY'S PRAIRIE50 ftBrazos Riversea levelHoliday Lakes40 ftHigh point of the line80 ft ← S · Jones CreekN →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Alluvium

Fine-detrital, coarse-detrital. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 23 mi of the line.

Beaumont Formation, areas predominantly clay

Clay, silt. Age: Pleistocene, less than 2.6 million years old. About 0.8 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Bailey's Prairie’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Bailey's Prairie reaches the Gulf of America by way of the Brazos: about 25 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Bailey's Prairie≈ 25 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF BAILEY'S PRAIRIE ≈ 25 mi to the Gulf of America Brazos

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Bailey's Prairie; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Bailey's Prairie’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1931 · Freeport 2 NW, 13 mi south-southeast

Bailey's Prairie has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in July; winter nights fall to about 46° in January. About 50 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

64°46°67°50°73°56°78°63°84°71°90°76°92°78°92°78°89°73°83°65°74°55°67°49° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY 49.9 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
July, average92° / 78°high / low, the warmest month
January, average64° / 46°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year49.9 inwettest months: September and August
Hottest on record105°FSeptember 4, 2000
Coldest on record13°FDecember 26, 1983
Wettest day on record16.7 inJuly 26, 1979
Snowiest day on record2.0 inFebruary 12, 1958
90° days a year82very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°4a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropicalKöppen Cfa

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upJune 12 to Sept. 13; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bailey's Prairie normally reaches 74° and falls to 55°. The record high is 85°, in 1978; the record low 33°, in 2018. The most rain on this date, 1.43 in, fell in 2022.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high64°67°73°78°84°90°92°92°89°83°74°67°
Normal low46°50°56°63°71°76°78°78°73°65°55°49°
Rain, inches4.022.442.912.873.874.744.184.987.064.374.693.80
Record high83° (1965)83° (2006)88° (2008)95° (2020)98° (1984)103° (2012)101° (2026)104° (2023)105° (2000)96° (1978)90° (1975)84° (1971)
Record low15° (1982)15° (2021)25° (1980)36° (1980)41° (1970)57° (1969)64° (1967)65° (1961)45° (1981)34° (1993)26° (1959)13° (1983)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1931 at Freeport 2 NW, 13 miles south-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Bailey's Prairie on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Pearland TX · 30 MI 30 miles north League City TX · 33 MI 33 miles northeast Houston TX · 45 MI 45 miles north Corpus Christi TX · 140 MI 140 miles southwest Austin TX · 157 MI 157 miles northwest San Antonio TX · 184 MI 184 miles west
FORECASTCITY
Map of Bailey's Prairie, Texas. Explore the plate
TEXAS · BRAZORIA

Bailey's Prairie

799 people, 50 ft above sea level in Brazoria County.

50 ftElevation
799People
7 sq miLand
Sunny 65°
SunnyDew point 56°
1

Today in Bailey's Prairie

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 66° 0%
7p partly cloudy night 63° 11%
10p mostly cloudy night 64° 6%
1a mostly cloudy night 65° 5%
4a mostly cloudy night 65° 27%
7a rain 65° 45%
Mostly cloudy
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 5 AM · 89%
→
Sat10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61
66
A
Sun90%
Showers likely Showers likely
50
71
B
Mon80%
Showers likely; cooler Showers likely; cooler
48
61
B
Tue0%
Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
55
67
B
Wed10%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
62
75
B
Thu20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
61
76
C
Fri10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
63
76
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK IN 2011 · NOV. 17, 2011

89°, the hottest this week of the year has been since 1931.

2

What Bailey's Prairie stands on

Bailey's Prairie’s center stands about 50 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 20 ft to 70 ft, a difference of 50 ft: nearly flat ground.

Bailey's Prairie, south to north Bailey's Prairie50 ftBrazos Riversea levelHigh point80 ft ← SN → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center50 ft
Within 3 miles20 to 70 ft
Lie of the landNearly flat (50 ft of relief)
Rock at the surfaceAlluvium
Its ageHolocene, less than 12,000 years old
5

Bailey's Prairie’s year

Bailey's Prairie has a humid subtropical climate. Summer afternoons average 92° in July; winter nights fall to about 46° in January. About 50 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 49.9 in
July, average92° / 78° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average64° / 46° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year49.9 in · wettest months: September and August
Hottest on record105°F · September 4, 2000
Coldest on record13°F · December 26, 1983
Wettest day on record16.7 in · July 26, 1979
Snowiest day on record2.0 in · February 12, 1958
90° days a year82 · very few reach 100°
Nights at or below 32°4 · a year, on average
Climate typeHumid subtropical · Köppen Cfa
1Highs of 90° and up · June 12 to Sept. 13; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Bailey's Prairie normally reaches 74° and falls to 55°. The record high is 85°, in 1978; the record low 33°, in 2018. The most rain on this date, 1.43 in, fell in 2022.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1931 at Freeport 2 NW, 13 miles south-southeast. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 25 mito the Gulf of AmericaBrazos

A raindrop that lands in Bailey's Prairie reaches the Gulf of America by way of the Brazos: about 25 river miles.