FORECAST CITY
Sign in
Shaded-relief map of Concepcion, Texas: rivers, roads, the city limits and where the water drains.
TEXAS · DUVAL COUNTY

Concepcion

42 people, 300 ft above sea level in Duval County.

300 ftElevation, city center
42People, 2024 estimate
0 sq miLand area
Sunny 79°
Sunny now Dew point 60° · SE 14 mph · high 79°
City of Concepcion River Interstate 2 miles
Explore the plate Order a print

The Concepcion plate. Relief from Copernicus GLO-30; rivers and lakes from USGS NHD; watersheds from the USGS Watershed Boundary Dataset; roads and city limits from Census TIGER 2024.

MILE1
TODAY

Today in Concepcion

NWS forecast and National Blend of Models · updated 12:00 PM CST
RIGHT NOW Brooks County Airport (KBKS) · 1:35 PM
Sunny
79° Sunny Feels like 79° · high of 79° near 1 PM
WindSE 14 mphno gusts
Humidity53%falling to 54% this afternoon
Pressure29.93 in →steady
Visibility10 mihaze-free
CloudsClear
UV index—no forecast
Dew point 60° · Sticky52° by Tuesday: drier air arrives
DryComfortableStickyMuggyOppressive
NEXT RAIN
Mostly sunny
Tomorrow, about 2 PMin about 24 hours · 54% chance · showers
LIKELY AMOUNT0–0.5 inmost likely 0.2; 1 in 10 over 0.9
LAST RAINNov. 100.05 in · 4 dry days
ALERTS & OUTLOOKS
No watches or warnings for Duval County
Sunday · severe storm risk
1 of 5
Marginal: isolated severe storms are possible.
NWS Corpus Christi and the Storm Prediction Center · checked 1:47 PM
SUN & MOON
↑ 6:53 AM5:42 PM ↓
10 h 49 m of daylight, 1 minute less than yesterday
Waxing crescent, 25% lit. Next full moon: Nov. 24.
AIR & POLLEN
53
MODERATEAir quality index · fine particles
Tomorrow: None, good. No pollen source yet.

The next three days, hour by hour

Sky: clear, cloudy, night Rain likely National Blend of Models
SATURDAY, NOV. 14
SUNDAY, NOV. 15
MONDAY, NOV. 16
TUESDAY, NOV. 17
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
1p
4p
7p
10p
1a
4a
7a
10a
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly clear night
mostly sunny
partly cloudy day
showers day
showers day
showers night
showers night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy day
mostly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy night
mostly cloudy night
partly cloudy day
partly cloudy day
TEMPERATURE °F
79°
67°
83°
57°
64°
55°
CHANCE OF RAIN
54% · 0.12 in Sunday evening 50%
WIND, MPH
13
12
9
8
8
8
9
13
9
5
5
10
14
16
17
17
16
13
12
11
11
12
12
12
HOW IT FEELS · DEW POINT
Muggy: dew points 61 to 72° ↑ The front passes Drier: 56° by Tuesday

The next seven days, and how sure we are

Forecast, with the range 8 in 10 ensemble members agree on Normal, about 80° / 62°
SAT Nov. 14 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
79° 67°
10% rain — SE 13 A
SUN Nov. 15 Chance of showers Chance of showers
85° 57°
50% rain up to 0.5″ S 9 C
MON Nov. 16 Chance of showers; cooler Chance of showers; cooler
65° 55°
50% rain — N 16, gusts 29 B
TUE Nov. 17 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
67° 60°
0% rain — NNE 6 B
WED Nov. 18 Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
77° 66°
10% rain — E 6 C
THU Nov. 19 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
80° 67°
30% rain — E 7 C
FRI Nov. 20 Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
81° 68°
20% rain — ESE 10 B
How sure are we? AModels agree: highs within 4° BSome spread: within 8° CWide spread: check back
Range from the National Blend of Models percentiles · graded on Forecast Scores
AIR MAIL

Where today’s air came from

The air arriving over Concepcion about 5,000 feet above the ground was over the Gulf Coast three days ago, about 930 miles back along its path. Near the ground the air came from the Carolinas; at 10,000 feet, from Texas. Air off the water carries moisture, which is why it feels humid. Traced back 72 hours through NOAA’s hourly RAP analyses, nine paths at each of three heights.

THIS WEEK, FIVE YEARS AGO Nov. 17–18, 2021

The wettest two days this week has seen

4.64 inches of rain fell in two days, the most for this week of the year since records began in 1962. The next wettest, 3.04 inches, fell in 1995.

3.04″
4.64″
19952021
Source: NOAA RCC-ACIS, the Benavides #2 record since 1962.
MILE2
THE GROUND

What Concepcion stands on

Concepcion’s center stands about 300 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 270 ft to 350 ft, a difference of 80 ft: gently rolling country.

The section below crosses 3 rock units mapped at the surface.

Concepcion, cut in half from west to east

A section west to east, 24 miles through the town center
200 ft300 ft400 ft CONCEPCION300 ftHigh point of the line480 ftLos Olmos Creekabout 230 ftLow point180 ft ← WE →

Heights every 0.1 mile from the Copernicus GLO-90 surface model; vertical exaggeration about 64×. The colored band under the surface is the rock the state geologic map shows at the surface, not a picture of what lies beneath.

Rock at the surface along the line

Sand sheet deposits

Sand. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 13 mi of the line.

Goliad Formation

Clay, sandstone. Age: Miocene, 5.3 to 23 million years old. About 8 mi of the line.

Silt sheet

Sand, silt. Age: Holocene, less than 12,000 years old. About 4 mi of the line.

From the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation (Horton and others, 2017), the states’ geologic maps joined at a common scale.

Heights from Copernicus GLO-90 (a surface model: it includes buildings and tree canopy); summits from USGS GNIS; rivers from USGS NHDPlus HR; rock from the USGS State Geologic Map Compilation.

MILE3
THE WATER

Where Concepcion’s rain goes

A raindrop that lands in Concepcion reaches the Gulf of America by way of Macho Creek and Los Olmos Creek: about 65 river miles.

THE WAY DOWN, TO SCALE
Concepcion≈ 65 mi · the Gulf of America
FROM THE CENTER OF CONCEPCION ≈ 65 mi to the Gulf of America Macho Creek → Los Olmos Creek

Often dry. About 60% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.

Traced down the USGS NHDPlus V2.1 river network from the Census center point of Concepcion; river miles along the main stem, rounded.

MILE5
THE ALMANAC

Concepcion’s year

1991–2020 normals · records since 1962 · Benavides #2, 14 mi north-northwest

Concepcion has a hot desert climate. Summer afternoons average 98° in August; winter nights fall to about 43° in January. Barely 0.0 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

68°43°73°48°77°55°84°62°90°69°94°74°96°74°98°74°92°70°86°61°76°52°68°45° JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 TODAY CONCEPCION 0.0 in rain a year
Normal high to low, by month Record high to low, by day Rain by month
August, average98° / 74°high / low, the warmest month
January, average68° / 43°high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year0.0 inspread evenly through the year
Hottest on record112°FMay 11, 2006
Coldest on record12°FDecember 24, 1989
Wettest day on record6.04 inSeptember 27, 1976
Snowiest day on record6.0 inDecember 25, 2004
Climate typeHot desertKöppen BWh

AROUND THE RING

1Highs of 90° and upMay 16 to Sept. 27; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Concepcion normally reaches 77° and falls to 52°. The record high is 91°, in 2005; the record low 25°, in 2018. The most rain on this date, 1.58 in, fell in 1998.

MONTH BY MONTH
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Normal high68°73°77°84°90°94°96°98°92°86°76°68°
Normal low43°48°55°62°69°74°74°74°70°61°52°45°
Rain, inches0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Record high94° (1971)102° (2026)104° (1984)109° (1989)112° (2006)112° (1998)107° (2022)110° (2011)109° (2000)102° (1991)96° (2017)96° (2019)
Record low15° (1975)16° (2021)17° (2002)31° (1987)42° (1996)52° (1984)59° (1972)60° (1972)45° (1996)32° (2017)24° (1979)12° (1989)

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1962 at Benavides #2, 14 miles north-northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.

MILE7
ON THE NETWORK

Around Concepcion on the Forecast Network

Neighboring plates

Alice TX · 31 MI 31 miles northeast Kingsville TX · 31 MI 31 miles east Laredo TX · 70 MI 70 miles west Corpus Christi TX · 77 MI 77 miles east Brownsville TX · 112 MI 112 miles southeast San Antonio TX · 143 MI 143 miles north
FORECASTCITY
Map of Concepcion, Texas. Explore the plate
TEXAS · DUVAL

Concepcion

42 people, 300 ft above sea level in Duval County.

300 ftElevation
42People
0 sq miLand
Sunny 79°
SunnyDew point 60°
1

Today in Concepcion

NEXT 15 HOURS
Now partly cloudy day 79° 8%
4p partly cloudy day 77° 3%
7p partly cloudy night 72° 4%
10p mostly clear night 70° 1%
1a mostly clear night 68° 1%
4a mostly clear night 67° 1%
Mostly sunny
NEXT RAINTomorrow about 2 PM · 54%
→
Sat10%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
67
79
A
Sun50%
Chance of showers Chance of showers
57
85
C
Mon50%
Chance of showers; cooler Chance of showers; cooler
55
65
B
Tue0%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
60
67
B
Wed10%
Mostly cloudy; warmer Mostly cloudy; warmer
66
77
C
Thu30%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
67
80
C
Fri20%
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy
68
81
B
Letters show how sure the forecast is: A, models agree; B, some spread; C, check back. Sample data.
THIS WEEK, FIVE YEARS AGO · NOV. 17–18, 2021

4.64 inches in two days, the most for this week since 1962.

2

What Concepcion stands on

Concepcion’s center stands about 300 ft above sea level. Within three miles the land runs from 270 ft to 350 ft, a difference of 80 ft: gently rolling country.

Concepcion, west to east Concepcion300 ftLos Olmos Creekabout 230 ft ← WE → 24 miles through the town center; vertical exaggeration about 122×. Colors: rock at the surface.
Elevation, center300 ft
Within 3 miles270 to 350 ft
Lie of the landGently rolling (80 ft of relief)
5

Concepcion’s year

Concepcion has a hot desert climate. Summer afternoons average 98° in August; winter nights fall to about 43° in January. Barely 0.0 inches of rain fall in a normal year.

JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDEC 1 0.0 in
August, average98° / 74° · high / low, the warmest month
January, average68° / 43° · high / low, the coldest month
Rain a year0.0 in · spread evenly through the year
Hottest on record112°F · May 11, 2006
Coldest on record12°F · December 24, 1989
Wettest day on record6.04 in · September 27, 1976
Snowiest day on record6.0 in · December 25, 2004
Climate typeHot desert · Köppen BWh
1Highs of 90° and up · May 16 to Sept. 27; normal highs reach 90°
NOVEMBER 14 IN THE RECORD

On November 14 Concepcion normally reaches 77° and falls to 52°. The record high is 91°, in 2005; the record low 25°, in 2018. The most rain on this date, 1.58 in, fell in 1998.

Normals 1991–2020 and records since 1962 at Benavides #2, 14 miles north-northwest. NOAA, through RCC-ACIS.
3

Where the rain goes

≈ 65 mito the Gulf of AmericaMacho Creek → Los Olmos Creek

A raindrop that lands in Concepcion reaches the Gulf of America by way of Macho Creek and Los Olmos Creek: about 65 river miles.

Often dry. About 60% of the way is mapped as streams that run only after rain or snowmelt; the water makes the whole trip in floods.